Analysis of China's real estate prices and macroeconomy based on evolutionary co-spectral method

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Document typeArticle
Defense date2015-04
PublisherOmniaScience
Rights accessOpen Access
Abstract
Purpose: This paper investigates the dynamic interaction between the real estate market and the macroeconomic environment of China by use of dynamic coherence function based on co-spectral analysis.
Design/methodology/approach: Through a theoretical perspective, the dynamic interrelationship among economic variables at different time intervals (both long and short terms) is analyzed.
Findings: The empirical results show that China’s real estate market features a high coherence with the change of the long-term interest rate, employment rate and money supply, while there is a moderate coherence between the real estate market and the inflation rate and economic growth rate, and the coherence between the short-term rate of interest and the real estate market is the lowest.
Research implications: Previous researches have some shortcomings. They do not consider the dependence between nonlinear series, but the latter is crucial to avoid the deviation of results. In this paper, we proposed a new method of experience to overcome these shortcomings.
Originality/value: The paper provides a reasonable explanation accordingly to different coherences between the real estate market and the macroeconomic variables.
CitationLi, Juan; Chen, Xuemin. Analysis of China's real estate prices and macroeconomy based on evolutionary co-spectral method. "Journal of Industrial Engineering and Management", Abril 2015, vol. 8, núm. 2, p. 598-614.
DLB-28744-2008
ISSN2013-0953
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