Enviaments recents

  • Origin of the warm eastern tropical Atlantic SST bias in a climate model 

    Exarchou, E.; Prodhomme, C.; Brodeau, L.; Guemas, V.; Doblas-Reyes, Francisco (Springer Verlag, 2018-09)
    Article
    Accés obert
    The substantial warm sea surface temperature bias in the eastern Tropical Atlantic reported in most CMIP5 climate simulations with various models, in particular along the coast of Namibia and Angola, remains an issue in ...
  • Estimation of the maximum annual number of North Atlantic tropical cyclones using climate models 

    Lavender, Sally L.; Walsh, Kevin J.E.; Caron, Louis-Philippe; King, Malcolm; Monkiewicz, Sam; Guishard, Mark; Zhang, Qiong; Hunt, Barrie (American Association for the Advancement of Science, 2018-08-22)
    Article
    Accés obert
    Using millennia-long climate model simulations, favorable environments for tropical cyclone formation are examined to determine whether the record number of tropical cyclones in the 2005 Atlantic season is close to the ...
  • Spatio‐temporal variability of daily precipitation concentration in Spain based on a high‐resolution gridded data set 

    Serrano-Notivoli, R.; Martín-Vide, J.; Saz, M.A.; Longares, L.A.; Begueria, S.; Sarricolea, P.; Meseguer-Ruiz, O.; Luis, M. de (Royal Meteorological Society, 2018-04)
    Article
    Accés restringit per política de l'editorial
    An analysis of the spatial and temporal variability of daily precipitation concentration (CI) in Spain was made based on a high‐resolution (5 × 5 km) daily gridded precipitation data set for the 1950–2012 period. For each ...
  • Importance of Late Fall ENSO Teleconnection in the Euro-Atlantic Sector 

    King, Martin P.; Herceg-Bulic, Ivana; Bladé, Ileana; Garcia-Serrano, Javier; Keenlyside, Noel; Kucharski, Fred; Li, Camille; Sobolowski, Stefan (American Meteorological Society, 2018-07-23)
    Article
    Accés obert
    Recent studies have indicated the importance of fall climate forcings and teleconnections in influencing the climate of the northern mid- to high latitudes. Here, we present some exploratory analyses using observational ...
  • Forecasting the climate response to volcanic eruptions: prediction skill related to stratospheric aerosol forcing 

    Ménégoz, Martin; Bilbao, Roberto; Bellprat, Omar; Guemas, Virginie; Doblas-Reyes, Francisco J. (IOP Publishing, 2018-06-06)
    Article
    Accés obert
    The last major volcanic eruptions, the Agung in 1963, El Chichon in 1982 and Pinatubo in 1991, were each associated with a cooling of the troposphere that has been observed over large continental areas and over the Western ...
  • Arctic sea-ice change tied to its mean state through thermodynamic processes 

    Massonnet, François; Vancoppenolle, Martin; Goosse, Hugues; Docquier, David; Fichefet, Thierry; Blanchard-Wrigglesworth, Edward (Nature Publishing Group, 2018-06-18)
    Article
    Accés restringit per política de l'editorial
    One of the clearest manifestations of ongoing global climate change is the dramatic retreat and thinning of the Arctic sea-ice cover. While all state-of-the-art climate models consistently reproduce the sign of these ...
  • Skilful forecasting of global fire activity using seasonal climate predictions 

    Turco, Marco; Jerez, Sonia; Doblas-Reyes, Francisco J.; AghaKouchak, Amir; Llasat, Maria Carmen; Provenzale, Antonello (Nature Publishing Group, 2018-07-13)
    Article
    Accés obert
    Societal exposure to large fires has been increasing in recent years. Estimating the expected fire activity a few months in advance would allow reducing environmental and socio-economic impacts through short-term adaptation ...
  • Quantifying climate feedbacks in polar regions 

    Goosse, Hugues; Kay, Jennifer E.; Armour, Kyle C.; Bodas-Salcedo, Alejandro; Chepfer, Helene; Docquier, David; Jonko, Alexandra; Kushner, Paul J.; Lecomte, Olivier; Massonnet, François; Park, Hyo-Seok; Pithan, Felix; Svensson, Gunilla; Vancoppenolle, Martin (Nature Publishing Group, 2018-05-15)
    Article
    Accés obert
    The concept of feedback is key in assessing whether a perturbation to a system is amplified or damped by mechanisms internal to the system. In polar regions, climate dynamics are controlled by both radiative and non-radiative ...
  • What have we learnt from EUPORIAS climate service prototypes? 

    Buontempo, Carlo; Manlon, Helen M.; Bruno Soares, Marta; Christel, Isadora; Soubeyroux, Jean-Michel; Viel, Christian; Calmanti, Sandro; Bosi, Lorenzo; Falloon, Pete; Palin, Erika J.; Vanvyve, Emilie; Torralba, Verónica; Gonzalez-Reviriego, Nube; Doblas-Reyes, Francisco; Pope, Edward C.D.; Newton, Paula; Liggins, Felicity (Elsevier, 2018-01)
    Article
    Accés obert
    The international effort toward climate services, epitomised by the development of the Global Framework for Climate Services and, more recently the launch of Copernicus Climate Change Service has renewed interest in the ...
  • Direct radiative effects during intense Mediterranean desert dust outbreaks 

    Gkikas, Antonis; Obiso, Vincenzo; Perez Garcia-Pando, Carlos; Jorba, Oriol; Hatzianastassiou, Nikos; Vendrell, Lluis; Basart, Sara; Solomos, Stavros; Gassó Domingo, Santiago; Baldasano Recio, José María (European Geosciences Union (EGU), 2018-06-21)
    Article
    Accés obert
    The direct radiative effect (DRE) during 20 intense and widespread dust outbreaks, which affected the broader Mediterranean basin over the period March 2000–February 2013, has been calculated with the NMMB-MONARCH model ...
  • Crossing the chasm: how to develop weather and climate models for next generation computers? 

    Lawrence, Bryan N.; Rezny, Mike; Budich, Reinhard; Bauer, Peter; Behrens, Jörg; Carter, Mick; Deconinck, Willem; Ford, Rupert; Maynard, Christopher; Mullerworth, Steven; Osuna, Carlos; Porter, Andrew; Serradell, Kim; Valcke, Sophie; Wedi, Nils; Wilson, Simon (European Geosciences Union, 2018-05-08)
    Article
    Accés obert
    Weather and climate models are complex pieces of software which include many individual components, each of which is evolving under pressure to exploit advances in computing to enhance some combination of a range of possible ...
  • Introducing design in the development of effective climate services 

    Christel, Isadora; Hemment, Drew; Bojovic, Dragana; Cucchietti, Fernando; Calvo, Luz; Stefaner, Moritz; Buontempo, Carlo (Elsevier, 2018-01)
    Article
    Accés obert
    Seasonal to decadal climate predictions have the potential to inform different sectors in adapting their short to medium term practices and plans to climate variability and change. The data these predictions generate, ...

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