Earth Sciences
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Near-term Mediterranean summer temperature climate projections: a comparison of constraining methods
(American Meteorological Society, 2024-06)
Article
Open AccessThere are several methods to constrain multimodel projections of future climate. This study assesses the quality of four constraining methods in representing the near-term summer temperature projections of the Mediterranean ... -
Observation-inferred resilience loss of the Amazon rainforest possibly due to internal climate variability
(Copernicus Publications, 2024)
Article
Open AccessRecent observation-based studies suggest that the Amazon rainforest has lost substantial resilience since 1990, indicating that the forest might undergo a critical transition in the near future due to global warming and ... -
Environments conductive to tropical transitions in the North Atlantic: Anthropogenic climate change influence study
(Elsevier, 2024-11)
Article
Open AccessTropical cyclones can have different precursors, but most of them affecting Europe have a tropical transition origin and develop in autumn. This research focuses on analyzing changes on favorable environments for tropical ... -
Managing Spring rain risks in vineyards: A user-centred approach to identify climate decision triggers in seasonal forecasts
(Elsevier, 2023-12)
Article
Open AccessIn the context of climate risk mitigation strategies seasonal forecasts have been often proposed as a potential climate risk management tool for the wine industry. However, in spite of the recent research advancements, the ... -
Evaluation of the design of the influenza-like illness sentinel surveillance system in Brazil
(SciELO - Scientific Electronic Library Online, 2024)
Article
Open AccessThe influenza-like illness (ILI) sentinel surveillance operates in Brazil to identify respiratory viruses of public health relevance circulating in the country and was first implemented in 2000. Recently, the COVID-19 ... -
Quantifying climatic and socioeconomic drivers of urban malaria in Surat, India: a statistical spatiotemporal modelling study
(Elsevier, 2023)
Article
Open AccessSummary Background Cities are becoming increasingly important habitats for mosquito vectors of disease. The pronounced heterogeneity of urban landscapes challenges our understanding of the effects of climate and socioeconomic ... -
Probabilistic predictions for meteorological droughts based on multi-initial conditions
(Elsevier, 2024)
Article
Open AccessSeasonal forecasts of meteorological drought can aid decision-making in various sectors but must be trustful and skillful. One of the major drawbacks of such forecasts lies in the inherent uncertainty associated with ... -
Future temperature-related mortality in the UK under climate change scenarios: Impact of population ageing and bias-corrected climate projections
(Elsevier, 2024)
Article
Open AccessBackground Exposure to heat and cold poses a serious threat to human health. In the UK, hotter summers, milder winters and an ageing population will shift how populations experience temperature-related health burdens. ... -
Probing Iceland's dust-emitting sediments: particle size distribution, mineralogy, cohesion, fe mode of occurrence, and reflectance spectra signatures
(European Geosciences Union (EGU), 2024-06-14)
Article
Open AccessCharacterising the physico-chemical properties of dust-emitting sediments in arid regions is fundamental to understanding the effects of dust on climate and ecosystems. However, knowledge regarding highlatitude dust (HLD) ... -
Negative storm surges in the Río de la Plata Estuary: mechanisms, variability, trends and linkage with the Continental Shelf dynamics
(Elsevier, 2024)
Article
Restricted access - publisher's policyNegative storm surge (NSS) events frequently affect the Río de la Plata Estuary (RdP), limiting the access to major ports and waterways and emptying the freshwater intakes of one of the most socially developed basins of ... -
Geographical migration and fitness dynamics of Streptococcus pneumoniae
(Nature Research, 2024-07)
Article
Open AccessStreptococcus pneumoniae is a leading cause of pneumonia and meningitis worldwide. Many different serotypes co-circulate endemically in any one location1,2. The extent and mechanisms of spread and vaccine-driven changes ... -
Modeling impacts of dust mineralogy on fast climate response
(European Geosciences Union (EGU), 2024-06-28)
Article
Open AccessMineralogical composition drives dust impacts on Earth's climate systems. However, most climate models still use homogeneous dust, without accounting for the temporal and spatial variation in mineralogy. To quantify the ...
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