Earth Sciences

Recent Submissions

  • Bias adjustment and ensemble recalibration methods for seasonal forecasting: a comprehensive intercomparison using the C3S dataset 

    Manzanas, R.; Gutiérrez, J.M.; Bhend, J.; Doblas-Reyes, Francisco J.; Torralba, Verónica; Penabad, E.; Brookshaw, A. (Springer, 2019-08)
    Article
    Restricted access - publisher's policy
    This work presents a comprehensive intercomparison of different alternatives for the calibration of seasonal forecasts, ranging from simple bias adjustment (BA)—e.g. quantile mapping—to more sophisticated ensemble recalibration ...

  • Monitoring the impact of desert dust outbreaks for air quality for health studies 

    Querol, X.; Tobías, A.; Pérez, N.; Karanasiou, A.; Amato, F.; Stafoggia, M.; Pérez García-Pando, Carlos; Ginoux, P.; Forastiere, F.; Gumy, S.; Mudu, P.; Alastuey, A. (Elsevier, 2019-09)
    Article
    Open Access
    We review the major features of desert dust outbreaks that are relevant to the assessment of dust impacts upon human health. Our ultimate goal is to provide scientific guidance for the acquisition of relevant population ...

  • Extreme, wintertime Saharan dust intrusion in the Iberian Peninsula: Lidar monitoring and evaluation of dust forecast models during the February 2017 event 

    Fernández, Alfonso J.; Sicard, Michäel; Costa, Maria J.; Guerrero-Rascado, Juan L.; Gómez-Amo, José L.; Molero, Francisco; Barragán, Rubén; Basart, Sara; Bortoli, Daniele; Bedoya-Velásquez, Andrés E.; Utrillas, María P.; Salvador, Pedro; Granados-Muñoz, María J.; Potes, Miguel; Ortiz-Amezcua, Pablo; Martínez-Lozano, José A.; Artíñano, Begoña; Muñoz-Porcar, Constantino; Salgado, Rui; Román, Roberto; Rocadenbosch, Francesc; Salgueiro, Vanda; Benavent-Oltra, José A.; Rodríguez-Gómez, Alejandro; Alados-Arboledas, Lucas; Comerón, Adolfo; Pujadas, Manuel (Elsevier, 2019-11-01)
    Article
    Open Access
    An unprecedented extreme Saharan dust event was registered in winter time from 20 to 23 February 2017 over the Iberian Peninsula (IP). We report on aerosol optical properties observed under this extreme dust intrusion ...

  • An assessment of regional sea ice predictability in the Arctic ocean 

    Cruz-García, Rubén; Guemas, Virginie; Chevallier, Matthieu; Massonnet, François (Springer, 2019-07)
    Article
    Restricted access - publisher's policy
    Arctic sea ice plays a central role in the Earth’s climate. Changes in the sea ice on seasonal-to-interannual timescales impact ecosystems, populations and a growing number of stakeholders. A prerequisite for achieving ...

  • Climate controls on snow reliability in French Alps ski resorts 

    Spandre, P.; François, H.; Verfaillie, Deborah; Lafaysse, M.; Déqué, M.; Eckert, N.; George, E.; Morin, S. (Nature Research, 2019-05-29)
    Article
    Open Access
    Ski tourism is a major sector of mountain regions economy, which is under the threat of long-term climate change. Snow management, and in particular grooming and artificial snowmaking, has become a routine component of ski ...

  • HERMESv3, a stand-alone multi-scale atmospheric emission modelling framework – Part 1: global and regional module 

    Guevara, Marc; Tena, Carles; Porquet, Manuel; Jorba, Oriol; Pérez García-Pando, Carlos (European Geosciences Union (EGU), 2019-05-14)
    Article
    Open Access
    Abstract Back to top We present the High-Elective Resolution Modelling Emission System version 3 (HERMESv3), an open source, parallel and stand-alone multi-scale atmospheric emission modelling framework that computes ...

  • Impact of reanalysis boundary conditions on downscaled Atlantic hurricane activity 

    Baudouin, Jean-Philippe; Caron, Louis-Philippe; Boudreault, Mathieu (Springer, 2019-03)
    Article
    Open Access
    Climate models are capable of producing features similar to tropical cyclones, but typically display strong biases for many of the storm physical characteristics due to their relatively coarse resolution compared to the ...

  • Sub-seasonal to seasonal climate predictions for wind energy forecasting 

    Soret, Albert; Torralba, Verónica; Cortesi, Nicola; Christel, I.; Palma, Ll.; Manrique-Suñén, A.; Lledó, Llorenç; González-Reviriego, Nube; Doblas-Reyes, Francisco J. (IOP Publishing, 2019-05)
    Article
    Open Access
    Both renewable energy supply and electricity demand are strongly influenced by meteorological conditions and their evolution over time in terms of climate variability and climate change. However, knowledge of power output ...

  • Robust skill of decadal climate predictions 

    Smith, D.M.; Eade, R.; Scaife, A.A.; Caron, L.-P.; Danabasoglu, G.; DelSole, T.M.; Delworth, T.; Doblas-Reyes, F.J.; Dunstone, N.J.; Hermanson, L.; Kharin, V.; Kimoto, M.; Merryfield, W.J.; Mochizuki, T.; Müller, W.A.; Pohlmann, H.; Yeager, S.; Yang, X. (Nature Research, 2019-05-17)
    Article
    Open Access
    There is a growing need for skilful predictions of climate up to a decade ahead. Decadal climate predictions show high skill for surface temperature, but confidence in forecasts of precipitation and atmospheric circulation ...

  • Predicted Chance That Global Warming Will Temporarily Exceed 1.5 °C 

    Smith, D.M.; Scaife, A.A.; Hawkins, E.; Bilbao, Roberto; Boer, G.J.; Caian, M.; Caron, L.-P.; Danabasoglu, G.; Delworth, T.; Doblas-Reyes, Francisco J.; Doescher, R.; Dunstone, N.J.; Eade, R.; Hermanson, L.; Ishii, M.; Kharin, V.; Kimoto, M.; Koenigk, T.; Kushnir, Y.; Matei, D.; Meehl, G.A.; Menegoz, Martin; Merryfield, W.J.; Mochizuki, T.; Müller, W.A.; Pohlmann, H.; Power, S.; Rixen, M.; Sospedra-Alfonso, R.; Tuma, M.; Wyser, K.; Yang, X.; Yeager, S. (American Geophysical Union (AGU), 2018-11-16)
    Article
    Open Access
    The Paris Agreement calls for efforts to limit anthropogenic global warming to less than 1.5 °C above preindustrial levels. However, natural internal variability may exacerbate anthropogenic warming to produce temporary ...

  • Seasonal forecasts of wind power generation 

    Lledó, Llorenc; Torralba, Verónica; Soret, Albert; Ramon, Jaume; Doblas-Reyes, Francisco J. (Elsevier, 2019-12)
    Article
    Open Access
    The energy sector is highly dependent on climate variability for electricity generation, maintenance activities and demand. In recent years, a few climate services have appeared that provide tailored information for the ...

  • Ozone source apportionment during peak summer events over southwestern Europe 

    Pay, Maria Teresa; Gangoiti, Gotzon; Guevara, Marc; Napelenok, Sergey; Querol, Xavier; Jorba, Oriol; Pérez García-Pando, Carlos (European Geosciences Union, 2019-04-25)
    Article
    Open Access
    It is well established that in Europe, high O3 concentrations are most pronounced in southern/Mediterranean countries due to the more favourable climatological conditions for its formation. However, the contribution of the ...

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