Valuation considerations for large-cap players in the renewables industry. Analysis across the European and UK regions

Abstract

This executive summary provides an overview of the analysis conducted in this thesis, which focuses on valuing the main players engaged in the renewables industry within the European Union and UK regions. The objective was to gain insights into the market by assessing large- cap companies operating in this sector. The analysis begins with a review of various valuation methods, followed by an examination of the current macroeconomic environment in Europe and the UK. The thesis proceeds by sizing the renewables industry, revealing a promising outlook for growth. A shortlist of main players is identified and categorized based on their focus within the renewables sector. Additionally, the analysis incorporates insights from brokers, who predict a potential upgrade in the share prices of the selected companies. Financial analysts anticipate an average upward potential of approximately 20% from the current share prices, with higher growth prospects for companies predominantly focused on renewables. Furthermore, a trading comparables analysis is conducted, revealing average multiples of around 2x Sales and 7.5x EBITDA. In the context of precedent transactions, the analysis demonstrates that the average premium paid in such transactions is 23%, with higher multiples sales and EBITDA compared to the trading comparables.