Modeling SARS-CoV-2 true infections in Catalonia through a digital twin
PublisherJohn Wiley & sons
Rights accessOpen Access
A dynamic view of the evolution of the infections of SARS-CoV-2 in Cataloniausing a Digital Twin approach that forecasts the true infection curve ispresented. The forecast model incorporates the vaccination process, theconfinement, and the detection rate, and virtually allows to consider anynonpharmaceutical intervention, enabling to understand their effects on thedisease’s containment while forecasting the trend of the pandemic. Acontinuous validation process of the model is performed using real data andan optimization model that automatically provides information regarding theeffects of the containment actions on the population. To simplify thisvalidation process, a formal graphical language that simplifies the interactionwith the different specialists and an easy modification of the modelparameters are used. The Digital Twin of the pandemic in Catalonia provides aforecast of the future trend of the SARS-CoV-2 spread and informationregarding the true cases and effectiveness of the NPIs to control theSARS-CoV-2 spread over the population. This approach can be applied easilyto other regions and can become an excellent tool for decision-making.
This is the peer reviewed version of the following article: Fonseca, P., Garcia, J. and Garcia, V., 2023. Modeling SARS-CoV-2 true infections in Catalonia through a digital twin. Advanced theory and simulations, (2200917), which has been published in final form at https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/adts.202200917. This article may be used for non-commercial purposes in accordance with Wiley Terms and Conditions for Use of Self-Archived Versions. This article may not be enhanced, enriched or otherwise transformed into a derivative work, without express permission from Wiley or by statutory rights under applicable legislation. Copyright notices must not be removed, obscured or modified. The article must be linked to Wiley’s version of record on Wiley Online Library and any embedding, framing or otherwise making available the article or pages thereof by third parties from platforms, services and websites other than Wiley Online Library must be prohibited.
CitationFonseca, P.; Garcia, J.; Garcia, V. Modeling SARS-CoV-2 true infections in Catalonia through a digital twin. "Advanced theory and simulations", July 2023, vol. 6, núm. 7, article 2200917.
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