Traffic crash injuries occurrence varieties across Barcelona districts

Abstract

Barcelona (Spain) had a total population of 1,636,762 in 2019 that are distributed on 10 districts across the city. These districts have different characteristics in size and population density. As a result, this can lead to different traffic crashes injuries occurrences and numbers in these areas. Therefore, this study is attempting to determine the conditional probabilities for each district in order to identify the district that has highest number of injuries compared to other areas. A Bayesian network approach is utilized to analyze the dataset and identify the high-risk district alongside analyzing the varieties of traffic crashes during four-year intervals. The results have shown that the district that has the highest population, highest usage of private transport mode, and highest density of passenger cars per km2 (compared to all other districts), has the highest risk of having all types of injuries resulting from traffic crashes. For the temporal factor represented by the four years interval, traffic crashes occurrences varied from district to district based on the level of injury.