Short-term demand forecasting for real-time operational control of the Barcelona water transport network
Document typeConference report
Rights accessRestricted access - publisher's policy
This paper focuses on the forecast of the hourly water demand data of distinct pressure floors of the Barcelona water transport network. Several methods to forecast the hourly water demand are studied and compared with the aim of being applied for the operational control of the Barcelona water transport network. The short-term forecast of the intraday series has a main feature: the double periodicity (daily and hourly). To address this issue several extensions of the classical time-series forecasting methods are proposed: seasonal ARIMA, structural models and the exponential methods without external information. The paper focuses on the daily and hourly forecasts. In the hourly forecast, the exponential smoothing method is the most accurate. On the hand, the seasonal ARIMA and the exponential smoothing are similar in the daily time scale.
CitationQuevedo, J. [et al.]. Short-term demand forecasting for real-time operational control of the Barcelona water transport network. A: Mediterranean Conference on Control & Automation. "2014 22nd Mediterranean Conference on Control and Automation (MED) University of Palermo. June 16-19, 2014. Palermo, Italy". Palermo: 2014, p. 990-995.
- SAC - Sistemes Avançats de Control - Ponències/Comunicacions de congressos 
- SIC - Sistemes Intel·ligents de Control - Ponències/Comunicacions de congressos 
- Departament d'Enginyeria de Sistemes, Automàtica i Informàtica Industrial - Ponències/Comunicacions de congressos 
- Departament de Matemàtiques - Ponències/Comunicacions de congressos