Ir al contenido (pulsa Retorno)

Universitat Politècnica de Catalunya

    • Català
    • Castellano
    • English
    • LoginRegisterLog in (no UPC users)
  • mailContact Us
  • world English 
    • Català
    • Castellano
    • English
  • userLogin   
      LoginRegisterLog in (no UPC users)

UPCommons. Global access to UPC knowledge

Banner header
61.694 UPC E-Prints
You are here:
View Item 
  •   DSpace Home
  • E-prints
  • Grups de recerca
  • LIM/UPC - Laboratori d'Enginyeria Marítima
  • Articles de revista
  • View Item
  •   DSpace Home
  • E-prints
  • Grups de recerca
  • LIM/UPC - Laboratori d'Enginyeria Marítima
  • Articles de revista
  • View Item
JavaScript is disabled for your browser. Some features of this site may not work without it.

Modelling of future extreme storm surges at the NW Mediterranean coast (Spain)

Thumbnail
View/Open
water-12-00472.pdf (2,591Mb)
 
10.3390/w12020472
 
  View Usage Statistics
  LA Referencia / Recolecta stats
Cita com:
hdl:2117/178530

Show full item record
Lin Ye, JueMés informació
García León, ManuelMés informació
Gracia Garcia, VicenteMés informacióMés informacióMés informació
Ortego Martínez, María IsabelMés informacióMés informacióMés informació
Lionello, Piero
Conte, Dario
Pérez Gómez, Begoña
Sánchez-Arcilla Conejo, AgustínMés informacióMés informacióMés informació
Document typeArticle
Defense date2020-02
Rights accessOpen Access
Attribution 3.0 Spain
Except where otherwise noted, content on this work is licensed under a Creative Commons license : Attribution 3.0 Spain
ProjectCEASELESS - Copernicus Evolution and Aplications with Sentinel Enhancements and Land Effluents for Shores and Seas (EC-H2020-730030)
SOLUCIONES BASADAS EN LA NATURALEZA PARA LA GESTION COSTERA (AEI-CTM2017-88036-R)
TRANSFERENCIA DE METODOS DE DATOS COMPOSICIONALES A LAS CIENCIAS APLICADAS Y LA TECNOLOGIA (MINECO-MTM2015-65016-C2-2-R)
Abstract
Storm surges are one of the main drivers for extreme flooding at the coastal areas. Such events can be characterized with the maximum level in an extreme storm surge event (surge peak), as well as the duration of the event. Surge projections come from a barotropic model for the 1950–2100 period, under a severe climate change scenario (RCP 8.5) at the northeastern Spanish coast. The relationship of extreme storm surges to three large-scale climate patterns was assessed: North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO), East Atlantic Pattern (EAWR), and Scandinavian Pattern (SC). The statistical model was built using two different strategies. In Strategy #1, the joint probability density was characterized by a moving-average series of stationary Archimedean copula, whereas in Strategy #2, the joint probability density was characterized by a non-stationary probit copula. The parameters of the marginal distribution and the copula were defined with generalized additive models. The analysis showed that the mean values of surge peak and event duration were constant and were independent of the proposed climate patterns. However, the values of NAO and SC influenced the threshold and the storminess of extreme events. According to Strategy #1, the variance of the surge peak and event duration increased with a fast shift of negative SC and a positive NAO, respectively. Alternatively, Strategy #2 showed that the variance of the surge peak increased with a positive EAWR. Both strategies coincided in that the joint dependence of the maximum surge level and the duration of extreme surges ranged from low to medium degree. Its mean value was stationary, and its variability was linked to the geographical location. Finally, Strategy #2 helped determine that this dependence increased with negative NAO.
CitationLin-Ye, J. [et al.]. Modelling of future extreme storm surges at the NW Mediterranean coast (Spain). "Water", Febrer 2020, vol. 12, núm. 2, p. 472:1-472:24. 
URIhttp://hdl.handle.net/2117/178530
DOI10.3390/w12020472
ISSN2073-4441
Publisher versionhttps://www.mdpi.com/2073-4441/12/2/472
Collections
  • LIM/UPC - Laboratori d'Enginyeria Marítima - Articles de revista [245]
  • Departament d'Enginyeria Civil i Ambiental - Articles de revista [2.812]
  • COSDA-UPC - COmpositional and Spatial Data Analysis - Articles de revista [88]
  View Usage Statistics

Show full item record

FilesDescriptionSizeFormatView
water-12-00472.pdf2,591MbPDFView/Open

Browse

This CollectionBy Issue DateAuthorsOther contributionsTitlesSubjectsThis repositoryCommunities & CollectionsBy Issue DateAuthorsOther contributionsTitlesSubjects

© UPC Obrir en finestra nova . Servei de Biblioteques, Publicacions i Arxius

info.biblioteques@upc.edu

  • About This Repository
  • Contact Us
  • Send Feedback
  • Privacy Settings
  • Inici de la pàgina