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dc.contributor.authorQuintero Duque, Felipe
dc.contributor.authorSempere Torres, Daniel
dc.contributor.authorBerenguer Ferrer, Marc
dc.contributor.authorBaltas, Evangelos
dc.contributor.otherUniversitat Politècnica de Catalunya. Departament d'Enginyeria del Terreny, Cartogràfica i Geofísica
dc.identifier.citationQuintero, F. [et al.]. A scenario-incorporating analysis of the propagation of uncertainty to flash flood simulations. "Journal of hydrology", Agost 2012, vol. 460-461, p. 90-102.
dc.description.abstractThis study proposes a methodology to analyze the propagation of uncertainty arising from radar rainfall and model parameter estimation to the flow simulations obtained from flash flood modeling. For this purpose an ensemble approach that describes the error from radar rainfall estimation and a novel approach that considers the seasonality and variability of catchment conditions in the estimation of model parameters have been implemented. The methodology analyzes the separate effect of each sourceof uncertainty and their interaction on runoff simulations. The methodology has been applied in the Besòs river basin, Catalonia (Spain) with a drainage area of 1020 km2. The results show that the effect of parameter estimation uncertainty produces a smaller spread in the model realizations than the effect caused by the uncertainty in rainfall estimation.
dc.format.extent13 p.
dc.subjectÀrees temàtiques de la UPC::Enginyeria civil::Geologia::Hidrologia
dc.subject.lcshRain and rainfall--Simulation methods
dc.subject.lcshRain and rainfall--Spain--Barcelona
dc.titleA scenario-incorporating analysis of the propagation of uncertainty to flash flood simulations
dc.subject.lemacPrecipitacions (Meteorologia) -- Catalunya -- Barcelona
dc.subject.lemacPrecipitacions (Meteorologia) -- Teledetecció
dc.contributor.groupUniversitat Politècnica de Catalunya. CRAHI - Centre de Recerca Aplicada en Hidrometeorologia
dc.rights.accessRestricted access - publisher's policy
dc.description.versionPostprint (published version)
dc.relation.projectidinfo:eu-repo/grantAgreement/EC/FP7/226555/EU/IMproving Preparedness and RIsk maNagemenT for flash floods and debriS flow events/IMPRINTS
upcommons.citation.authorQuintero, F.; Sempere, D.; Berenguer, M.; Baltas, E.
upcommons.citation.publicationNameJournal of hydrology

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