Show simple item record

dc.contributor.authorSchauwecker, Simone
dc.contributor.authorGascón, Estíbaliz
dc.contributor.authorPark, Shinju
dc.contributor.authorSempere Torres, Daniel
dc.contributor.otherUniversitat Politècnica de Catalunya. Departament d'Enginyeria Civil i Ambiental
dc.date.accessioned2019-04-22T23:42:40Z
dc.date.available2019-04-22T23:42:40Z
dc.date.issued2019-06
dc.identifier.citationSchauwecker, S. [et al.]. Anticipating cascading effects of extreme precipitation with pathway schemes: three case studies from Europe. "Environment international", Juny 2019, vol. 127, p. 291-304.
dc.identifier.issn0160-4120
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/2117/131802
dc.description.abstractExtreme precipitation events with high local precipitation intensities, heavy snowfall or extensive freezing rain can have devastating impacts on society and economy. Not only is the quantitative forecast of such events sometimes difficult and associated with large uncertainties, also are the potential consequences highly complex and challenging to predict. It is thus a demanding task to anticipate or nowcast the impacts of extreme precipitation, even more so in situations where human lives or critical infrastructure might be at risk. In recent years, the term “cascading effects” has been increasingly used to describe events in which an initial trigger leads to a sequence of consequences with significant magnitude. We here analyze three examples for different precipitation types where the initial triggering event generated a cascade of events and impacts, namely a convective precipitation event in the Swiss Prealps, a freezing rain in Slovenia, and a heavy snowfall episode in Catalonia. With the aim to improve process understanding of complex precipitation-triggered events, we assess the prediction of the selected events and analyze the cascading effects that caused diverse impacts. To this end, we use a framework of cascading effects which should ultimately allow the development of a better design risk assessment and management strategies. Our findings confirm that damage of extreme precipitation events is clearly related to the knowledge of potential cascading effects. Major challenges of predicting cascading effects are the high complexity, the interdependencies and the increasing uncertainty along the cascade. We propose a framework for cascading effects including two approaches: (i) one to analyze cascading effects during past extreme precipitation events, which then serves as a basis for a (ii) more generalized approach to increase the preparedness level of operational services before and during future extreme precipitation events and to anticipate potential cascading effects of extreme precipitation. Both approaches are based on pathway schemes that can be used in addition to numerical models or hazard maps to analyze and predict potential cascading effects, but also as training tools.
dc.format.extent14 p.
dc.language.isoeng
dc.publisherElsevier
dc.rightsAttribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivs 3.0 Spain
dc.rights.urihttp://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/3.0/es/
dc.subjectÀrees temàtiques de la UPC::Enginyeria civil::Geologia::Hidrologia
dc.subject.lcshFloods--Risk assessment
dc.subject.otherExtreme precipitation Cascading effects Hazard anticipation Precipitation forecast
dc.titleAnticipating cascading effects of extreme precipitation with pathway schemes: three case studies from Europe
dc.typeArticle
dc.subject.lemacInundacions -- Avaluació del risc
dc.contributor.groupUniversitat Politècnica de Catalunya. CRAHI - Centre de Recerca Aplicada en Hidrometeorologia
dc.identifier.doi10.1016/j.envint.2019.02.072
dc.description.peerreviewedPeer Reviewed
dc.relation.publisherversionhttps://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0160412018330976
dc.rights.accessOpen Access
drac.iddocument24024691
dc.description.versionPostprint (published version)
dc.relation.projectidinfo:eu-repo/grantAgreement/CE/H2020/H2020-700099-ANYWHERE
upcommons.citation.authorSchauwecker, S.; Gascón, E.; Park, S.; Sempere-Torres, D.
upcommons.citation.publishedtrue
upcommons.citation.publicationNameEnvironment international
upcommons.citation.volume127
upcommons.citation.startingPage291
upcommons.citation.endingPage304


Files in this item

Thumbnail

This item appears in the following Collection(s)

Show simple item record

Except where otherwise noted, content on this work is licensed under a Creative Commons license: Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivs 3.0 Spain