Short-term demand forecasting for operational control of the Barcelona water transport network
Document typeConference report
Rights accessRestricted access - confidentiality agreement
This paper focuses on the forecast of the hourly water demand data of distinct pressure floors of the Barcelona water transport network. Several methods to forecast the hourly water demand are studied and compared with the aim of being applied for the operational control of the Barcelona water transport network. The short-term forecast of the intraday series have a main feature: the double periodicity (daily and hourly). To address this issue several extensions of the classical time-series forecasting methods are proposed: seasonal ARIMA, structural models and the exponential methods without external information. The paper focuses on the daily and hourly forecasts. In the hourly forecast, the exponential smoothing method is the most accurate. On the hand, the seasonal ARIMA and the exponential smoothing are similar in the daily time scale.
CitationBlanch, J. [et al.]. Short-term demand forecasting for operational control of the Barcelona water transport network. A: Conferencia Nacional de Jóvenes Profesionales del Agua de España. "1ª Conferencia Nacional de Jóvenes Profesionales del Agua de España". Barcelona: 2010, p. 1-10.
All rights reserved. This work is protected by the corresponding intellectual and industrial property rights. Without prejudice to any existing legal exemptions, reproduction, distribution, public communication or transformation of this work are prohibited without permission of the copyright holder