Monitoring of the PVC cables as well as the prediction of their residual lifetime are important issues for the maintenance of the French nuclear power plants (NPPs). To date, the unanimously end of life criterion admitted for these cables is a 50% value of elongation at break and, to our knowledge, only destructive tests give access to this parameter. This study reports a relationship between elongation at break of the PVC and their plasticizer content. This correlation opens the door to a monitoring directly on site or by micro sampling since all classic laboratory techniques able to measure this content become ways to judge the condition of the PVC
sheaths and insulators. In addition, this study demonstrates the feasibility of prediction of industrial PVC behavior changes. This model, adapted to the case of thin films, involved tools of chemical kinetics and the implementation of a constitutive model.