Uncertainties, complexities and possible forecasting of Volcán de Colima energy emissions (Mexico, years 2013–2015) based on a fractal reconstruction theorem

Carregant...
Miniatura
El pots comprar en digital a:
El pots comprar en paper a:

Projectes de recerca

Unitats organitzatives

Número de la revista

Títol de la revista

ISSN de la revista

Títol del volum

Col·laborador

Editor

Tribunal avaluador

Realitzat a/amb

Tipus de document

Article

Data publicació

Editor

Condicions d'accés

Accés obert

item.page.rightslicense

Creative Commons
Aquesta obra està protegida pels drets de propietat intel·lectual i industrial corresponents. Llevat que s'hi indiqui el contrari, els seus continguts estan subjectes a la llicència de Creative Commons: Reconeixement 4.0 Internacional

Assignatures relacionades

Assignatures relacionades

Publicacions relacionades

Datasets relacionats

Datasets relacionats

Projecte CCD

Abstract

The effusive–explosive energy emission process in a volcano is a dynamic and complex physical phenomenon. The importance of quantifying this complexity in terms of the physical and mathematical mechanisms that govern these emissions should be a requirement for deciding to apply a possible forecasting strategy with a sufficient degree of certainty. The complexity of this process is determined in this research by means of the reconstruction theorem and statistical procedures applied to the effusive–explosive volcanic energy emissions corresponding to the activity in the Volcán de Colima (western segment of the Trans-Mexican Volcanic Belt) along the years 2013–2015. The analysis is focused on measuring the degree of persistence or randomness of the series, the degree of predictability of energy emissions, and the quantification of the degree of complexity and “memory loss” of the physical mechanism throughout an episode of volcanic emissions. The results indicate that the analysed time series depict a high degree of persistence and low memory loss, making the mentioned effusive–explosive volcanic emission structure a candidate for successfully applying a forecasting strategy.

Descripció

Persones/entitats

Document relacionat

Versió de

Citació

Monterrubio, M.; Lana, F.J.; Arámbula-Mendoza, R. Uncertainties, complexities and possible forecasting of Volcán de Colima energy emissions (Mexico, years 2013–2015) based on a fractal reconstruction theorem. "Nonlinear processes in geophysics", 8 Desembre 2023, vol. 30, núm. 4, p. 571-583.

Ajut

Forma part

Dipòsit legal

ISBN

ISSN

1607-7946

Altres identificadors

Referències