Now showing items 1-7 of 7

    • Early warning signal for a tipping point suggested by a millennial Atlantic Multidecadal Variability reconstruction 

      Michel, Simon L. L.; Swingedouw, Didier; Ortega Montilla, Pablo; Gastineau, Guillaume; Mignot, Juliette; McCarthy, Gerard; Khodri, Myriam (Nature Research, 2022-09)
      Article
      Open Access
      Atlantic multidecadal variability is a coherent mode of natural climate variability occurring in the North Atlantic Ocean, with strong impacts on human societies and ecosystems worldwide. However, its periodicity and drivers ...
    • Impact of explosive volcanic eruptions on the main climate variability modes 

      Swingedouw, Didier; Mignot, Juliette; Ortega, Pablo; Khodri, Myriam; Menegoz, Martin; Cassou, Christophe; Hanzquiez, Vincent (Elsevier, 2017-03)
      Article
      Open Access
      Volcanic eruptions eject largeamounts of materials into the atmosphere, which can have an impact on climate. In particular, the sulphur dioxide gas released in the stratosphere leads to aerosol formation that reflects part ...
    • Impact of volcanic eruptions on CMIP6 decadal predictions: a multi-model analysis 

      Bilbao, Roberto; Ortega Montilla, Pablo; Swingedouw, Didier; Hermanson, Leon; Athanasiadis, Panos; Doblas-Reyes, Francisco; Ho, An-Chi; Samsó, Margarida (Copernicus Publications, 2024)
      Article
      Open Access
      In recent decades, three major volcanic eruptions of different intensity have occurred (Mount Agung in 1963, El Chichón in 1982 and Mount Pinatubo in 1991), with reported climate impacts on seasonal to decadal timescales ...
    • Initialization shock in the ocean circulation reduces skill in decadal predictions of the North Atlantic subpolar gyre 

      Polkova, Iuliia; Swingedouw, Didier; Hermanson, Leon; Koehl, Armin; Stammer, Detlef; Ortega Montilla, Pablo; Bilbao, Roberto (Frontiers Media, 2023)
      Article
      Open Access
      Due to large northward transports of heat, the Atlantic Ocean circulation is strongly affecting the climate of various regions. Its internal variability has been shown to be predictable decades ahead within climate models, ...
    • Modes of climate variability: Synthesis and review of proxy-based reconstructions through the Holocene 

      Hernández, Armand; Martin-Puertas, Celia; Moffa-Sánchez, Paola; Moreno-Chamarro, Eduardo; Ortega Montilla, Pablo; Blockley, Simon; Cobb, Kim M.; Comas-Bru, Laia; Giralt, Santiago; Goosse, Hugues; Luterbacher, Jürg; Martrat, Belen; Muscheler, Raimund; Parnell, Andrew; Pla-Rabes, Sergi; Sjolte, Jesper; Scaife, Adam A.; Swingedouw, Didier; Wise, Erika; Xu, Guobao (Elsevier, 2020-10)
      Article
      Open Access
      Modes of climate variability affect global and regional climates on different spatio-temporal scales, and they have important impacts on human activities and ecosystems. As these modes are a useful tool for simplifying the ...
    • North Atlantic climate far more predictable than models imply 

      Smith, Doug; Scaife, Adam A.; Athanasiadis, P.; Bellucci, A.; Bethke, Ingo; Bilbao, Roberto; Borchert, Leonard F.; Caron, Louis-Philippe; Counillon, F.; Danabasoglu, G.; Delworth, Thomas; Doblas-Reyes, Francisco; Dunstone, Nick; Estella-Perez, V.; Flavoni, S.; Hermanson, Leon; Keenlyside, Noel; Kharin, V.; Kimoto, M.; Merryfield, W.J.; Mignot, Juliette; Mochizuki, T.; Modali, K.; Monerie, P.-A.; Müller, W.A.; Nicolí, Dario; Ortega Montilla, Pablo; Pankatz, K.; Pohlmann, H.; Robson, Jon; Ruggieri, P.; Sospedra-Alfonso, Reinel; Swingedouw, Didier; Wang, Yiguo; Wild, Simon; Yeager, Stephen; Yang, Xiaosong; Liping, Zhang (Springer Nature, 2020-07)
      Article
      Open Access
      Quantifying signals and uncertainties in climate models is essential for the detection, attribution, prediction and projection of climate change1,2,3. Although inter-model agreement is high for large-scale temperature ...
    • Role of the Atlantic Multidecadal Variability in modulating the climate response to a Pinatubo-like volcanic eruption 

      Ménégoz, Martin; Cassou, Christophe; Swingedouw, Didier; Ruprich-Robert, Yohan; Bretonnière, Pierre-Antoine; Doblas-Reyes, Francisco (Springer, 2018-09)
      Article
      Open Access
      The modulation by the Atlantic multidecadal variability (AMV) of the dynamical climate response to a Pinatubo-like eruption is investigated for the boreal winter season based on a suite of large ensemble experiments using ...