• How Skillful are the Multiannual Forecasts of Atlantic Hurricane Activity? 

      Caron, Louis-Philippe; Hermanson, Leon; Dobbin, Alison; Imbers, Jara; Lledó, Llorenç; Vecchi, Gabriel A. (American Meteorological Society, 2018-03)
      Artículo
      Acceso abierto
      The recent emergence of near-term climate prediction, wherein climate models are initialized with the contemporaneous state of the Earth system and integrated up to 10 years into the future, has prompted the development ...
    • North Atlantic climate far more predictable than models imply 

      Smith, Doug; Scaife, Adam A.; Athanasiadis, P.; Bellucci, A.; Bethke, Ingo; Bilbao, Roberto; Borchert, Leonard F.; Caron, Louis-Philippe; Counillon, F.; Danabasoglu, G.; Delworth, Thomas; Doblas-Reyes, Francisco; Dunstone, Nick; Estella-Perez, V.; Flavoni, S.; Hermanson, Leon; Keenlyside, Noel; Kharin, V.; Kimoto, M.; Merryfield, W.J.; Mignot, Juliette; Mochizuki, T.; Modali, K.; Monerie, P.-A.; Müller, W.A.; Nicolí, Dario; Ortega Montilla, Pablo; Pankatz, K.; Pohlmann, H.; Robson, Jon; Ruggieri, P.; Sospedra-Alfonso, Reinel; Swingedouw, Didier; Wang, Yiguo; Wild, Simon; Yeager, Stephen; Yang, Xiaosong; Liping, Zhang (Springer Nature, 2020-07)
      Artículo
      Acceso restringido por política de la editorial
      Quantifying signals and uncertainties in climate models is essential for the detection, attribution, prediction and projection of climate change1,2,3. Although inter-model agreement is high for large-scale temperature ...
    • Robust Multiyear Climate Impacts of Volcanic Eruptions in Decadal Prediction Systems 

      Hermanson, Leon; Bilbao, Roberto; Dunstone, Nick; Ménégoz, Martin; Ortega Montilla, Pablo; Pohlmann, Holger; Robson, Jon I; Smith, Doug M.; Strand, Gary; Timmreck, Claudia; Yeager, Steve; Danabasoglu, Gokhan (Wiley, 2020)
      Artículo
      Acceso abierto
      Major tropical volcanic eruptions have a large impact on climate, but there have only been three major eruptions during the recent relatively well‐observed period. Models are therefore an important tool to understand and ...