Browsing by Author "Dutra, Emanuel"

Now showing items 1-5 of 5

    • Assessment of a full-field initialized decadal climate prediction system with the CMIP6 version of EC-Earth 

      Bilbao, Roberto; Wild, Simon; Ortega Montilla, Pablo; Acosta Navarro, Juan Camilo; Arsouze, Thomas; Bretonnière, Pierre-Antoine; Caron, Louis-Philippe; Castrillo, Miguel; Cruz García, Rubén; Cvijanovic, Ivana; Doblas-Reyes, Francisco; Donat, Markus; Dutra, Emanuel; Echevarria, Pablo; Ho, An-Chi; Loosveldt-Tomas, Saskia; Moreno Chamarro, Eduardo; Pérez-Zanón, Núria; Ramos, Arthur; Ruprich-Robert, Yohan; Sicardi, Valentina; Tourigny, Etienne; Vegas-Regidor, Javier (Copernicus Publications, 2021)
      Article
      Open Access
      In this paper, we present and evaluate the skill of an EC-Earth3.3 decadal prediction system contributing to the Decadal Climate Prediction Project – Component A (DCPP-A). This prediction system is capable of skilfully ...

    • Impact of land-surface initialization on sub-seasonal to seasonal forecasts over Europe 

      Prodhomme, Chloé; Doblas-Reyes, Francisco; Bellprat, Omar; Dutra, Emanuel (Springer, 2015-11-04)
      Article
      Open Access
      Land surfaces and soil conditions are key sources of climate predictability at the seasonal time scale. In order to estimate how the initialization of the land surface affects the predictability at seasonal time scale, we ...

    • Impact of springtime Himalayan-Tibetan Plateau snowpack on the onset of the Indian summer monsoon in coupled seasonal forecasts 

      Senan, Retish; Orsolini, Yvan J.; Weisheimer, Antje; Vitart, Frédéric; Balsamo, Gianpaolo; Stockdale, Timothy N.; Dutra, Emanuel; Doblas-Reyes, Francisco; Basang, Droma (Springer, 2016-02-20)
      Article
      Open Access
      The springtime snowpack over the Himalayan–Tibetan Plateau (HTP) region and Eurasia has long been suggested to be an influential factor on the onset of the Indian summer monsoon. To assess the impact of realistic initialization ...

    • Probabilistic predictions for meteorological droughts based on multi-initial conditions 

      Torres Vázquez, Miguel Ángel; Di Giuseppe, Francesca; Dutra, Emanuel; Halifa Marín, Amar; Jerez, Sonia; Ramón, Jaume; Montávez, Juan Pedro; Doblas-Reyes, Francisco; Turco, Marco (Elsevier, 2024)
      Article
      Open Access
      Seasonal forecasts of meteorological drought can aid decision-making in various sectors but must be trustful and skillful. One of the major drawbacks of such forecasts lies in the inherent uncertainty associated with ...

    • Trends, variability and predictive skill of the ocean heat content in North Atlantic: an analysis with the EC-Earth3 model 

      Carmo Costa, Teresa; Bilbao, Roberto; Ortega Montilla, Pablo; Teles Machado, Ana; Dutra, Emanuel (Springer, 2021)
      Article
      Open Access
      This study investigates linear trends, variability and predictive skill of the upper ocean heat content (OHC) in the North Atlantic basin. This is a region where strong decadal variability superimposes the externally forced ...