Browsing by Author "Eade, R."

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    • Predicted Chance That Global Warming Will Temporarily Exceed 1.5 °C 

      Smith, D.M.; Scaife, A.A.; Hawkins, E.; Bilbao, Roberto; Boer, G.J.; Caian, M.; Caron, L.-P.; Danabasoglu, G.; Delworth, T.; Doblas-Reyes, Francisco; Doescher, R.; Dunstone, N.J.; Eade, R.; Hermanson, L.; Ishii, M.; Kharin, V.; Kimoto, M.; Koenigk, T.; Kushnir, Y.; Matei, D.; Meehl, G.A.; Menegoz, Martin; Merryfield, W.J.; Mochizuki, T.; Müller, W.A.; Pohlmann, H.; Power, S.; Rixen, M.; Sospedra-Alfonso, R.; Tuma, M.; Wyser, K.; Yang, X.; Yeager, S. (American Geophysical Union (AGU), 2018-11-16)
      Article
      Open Access
      The Paris Agreement calls for efforts to limit anthropogenic global warming to less than 1.5 °C above preindustrial levels. However, natural internal variability may exacerbate anthropogenic warming to produce temporary ...

    • Robust skill of decadal climate predictions 

      Smith, D.M.; Eade, R.; Scaife, A.A.; Caron, L.-P.; Danabasoglu, G.; DelSole, T.M.; Delworth, T.; Doblas-Reyes, Francisco; Dunstone, N.J.; Hermanson, L.; Kharin, V.; Kimoto, M.; Merryfield, W.J.; Mochizuki, T.; Müller, W.A.; Pohlmann, H.; Yeager, S.; Yang, X. (Nature Research, 2019-05-17)
      Article
      Open Access
      There is a growing need for skilful predictions of climate up to a decade ahead. Decadal climate predictions show high skill for surface temperature, but confidence in forecasts of precipitation and atmospheric circulation ...