Now showing items 21-33 of 33

    • Large spread in interannual variance of atmospheric CO2 concentration across CMIP6 Earth System Models 

      Martín Gómez, Verónica; Ruprich-Robert, Yohan; Tourigny, Etienne; Bernardello, Raffaele; Ortega Montilla, Pablo; Donat, Markus; Samsó Cabré, Margarida (Nature Research, 2023-12)
      Article
      Open Access
      Numerical Earth System Models (ESMs) are our best tool to predict the evolution of atmospheric CO2 concentration and its effect on Global temperature. However, large uncertainties exist among ESMs in the variance of the ...
    • Multi-annual predictions of daily temperature and precipitation extremes 

      Delgado-Torres, Carlos; Donat, Markus; Soret, Albert (Barcelona Supercomputing Center, 2023-05)
      Conference report
      Open Access
      Characteristics of climate extremes are changing in a warming climate, with in particular hot temperature and heavy precipitation extremes becoming more intense and frequent, thus increasing their potential impact on ...
    • Multi-model forecast quality assessment of CMIP6 decadal predictions 

      Delgado-Torres, Carlos; Donat, Markus; Gonzalez-Reviriego, Nube; Caron, Louis-Philippe; Athanasiadis, Panos J.; Bretonnière, Pierre-Antoine; Dunstone, Nick; Chi Ho, An; Nicoli, Dario; Pankatz, Klaus; Paxian, Andreas; Pérez Zanón, Núria; Samso Cabre, Margarida; Solaraju Murali, Balakrishnan; Soret Miravet, Albert; Doblas Reyes, Francisco (2022-06)
      Article
      Open Access
      Decadal climate predictions are a relatively new source of climate information for inter-annual to decadal time scales, which is of increasing interest for users. Forecast quality assessment is essential to identify windows ...
    • Multi-model forecast quality assessment of CMIP6 decadal predictions 

      Delgado Torres, Carlos; Donat, Markus; Soret, Albert (Barcelona Supercomputing Center, 2022-05)
      Conference report
      Open Access
      Decadal climate predictions are a new source of climate information for inter-annual to decadal time scales (filling the gap between seasonal predictions and climate projections), which is of increasing interest to users. ...
    • Near-term Mediterranean summer temperature climate projections: a comparison of constraining methods 

      Cos, Pep; Marcos Matamoros, Raül; Donat, Markus; Mahmood, Rashed; Doblas-Reyes, Francisco (American Meteorological Society, 2024-06)
      Article
      Open Access
      There are several methods to constrain multimodel projections of future climate. This study assesses the quality of four constraining methods in representing the near-term summer temperature projections of the Mediterranean ...
    • Observed Global Changes in Sector-Relevant Climate Extremes Indices—An Extension to HadEX3 

      Dunn, Robert J. H.; Herold, Nicholas; Alexander, Lisa V.; Donat, Markus; Allan, Rob (Wiley Open Access, 2024)
      Article
      Open Access
      Global gridded data sets of observed extremes indices underpin assessments of changes in climate extremes. However, similar efforts to enable the assessment of indices relevant to different sectors of society have been ...
    • Projected marine heatwaves in the 21st century and the potential for ecological impact 

      Oliver, Eric C. J.; Burrows, Michael T.; Donat, Markus; Gupta, Alex Sen; Alexander, Lisa V.; Perkins-Kirkpatrick, Sarah E.; Benthuysen, Jessica A.; Hobday, Alistair J.; Holbrook, Neil J.; Moore, Pippa J.; Thomsen, Mads S.; Wernberg, Thomas; Smale, Dan A. (Frontiers, 2019)
      Article
      Open Access
      Marine heatwaves (MHWs) are extreme climatic events in oceanic systems that can have devastating impacts on ecosystems, causing abrupt ecological changes and socioeconomic consequences. Several prominent MHWs have attracted ...
    • Representation and annual to decadal predictability of Euro-Atlantic weather regimes in the CMIP6 Version of the EC-Earth Coupled Climate Model 

      Delgado Torres, Carlos; Verfaillie, Deborah; Mohino, Elsa; Donat, Markus (Wiley, 2022-07-15)
      Article
      Open Access
      Weather regimes are large-scale atmospheric circulation states that frequently occur in the climate system with persistence and recurrence, and are associated with the occurrence of specific local weather conditions. This ...
    • Stewardship maturity assessment tools for modernization of climate data management 

      Dunn, Robert; Lief, Christina; Peng, Ge; Wright, William; Baddour, Omar; Donat, Markus; Dubuisson, Brigitte; Legeais, Jean-François; Siegmund, Peter; Silveira, Reinaldo; Wang, Xiaolan L.; Ziese, Markus (Ubiquity Press [, 2021)
      Article
      Open Access
      High quality and well-managed climate data are the cornerstone of all climate services. Consistently assessing how well the data are managed is one way to establish or demonstrate the trustworthiness of the data. This paper ...
    • Summer temperature response to extreme soil water conditions in the Mediterranean transitional climate regime 

      Materia, Stefano; Ardilouze, Constantin; Prodhomme, Chloé; Donat, Markus; Benassi, Marianna; Doblas-Reyes, Francisco; Peano, Daniele; Caron, Louis-Philippe; Ruggieri, Paolo; Gualdi, Silvio (Springer, 2021)
      Article
      Open Access
      Land surface and atmosphere are interlocked by the hydrological and energy cycles and the effects of soil water-air coupling can modulate near-surface temperatures. In this work, three paired experiments were designed to ...
    • Temperature and precipitation responses to El Niño-Southern Oscillation in a hierarchy of datasets with different levels of observational constraints 

      Garcia-Villada, Laurence P.; Donat, Markus; Angélil, Oliver; Taschetto, Andréa S. (Springer, 2020)
      Article
      Open Access
      El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is the dominant mode of climate variability, affecting climate conditions over large areas of the globe. There are, however, substantial differences in how ENSO teleconnections with ...
    • Toward consistent observational constraints in climate predictions and projections 

      Hegerl, Gabriele C.; Ballinger, Andrew P.; Booth, Ben B. B.; Borchert, Leonard F.; Brunner, Lukas; Donat, Markus; Doblas-Reyes, Francisco; Mahmood, Rashed (Frontiers Media, 2021-06)
      Article
      Open Access
      Observations facilitate model evaluation and provide constraints that are relevant to future predictions and projections. Constraints for uninitialized projections are generally based on model performance in simulating ...
    • Variability of univariate and compound hot and dry events 

      Aranyossy, Alvise; Donat, Markus; de Luca, Paolo (Barcelona Supercomputing Center, 2023-05)
      Conference report
      Open Access
      The vulnerability of societal and economical systems to future extreme events is an emerging topic, which is not limited anymore to the scientific environment but is also taken into consideration in decision-making ...