Ara es mostren els items 21-31 de 31

    • Multi-model forecast quality assessment of CMIP6 decadal predictions 

      Delgado-Torres, Carlos; Donat, Markus; Gonzalez-Reviriego, Nube; Caron, Louis-Philippe; Athanasiadis, Panos J.; Bretonnière, Pierre-Antoine; Dunstone, Nick; Chi Ho, An; Nicoli, Dario; Pankatz, Klaus; Paxian, Andreas; Pérez Zanón, Núria; Samso Cabre, Margarida; Solaraju Murali, Balakrishnan; Soret Miravet, Albert; Doblas Reyes, Francisco (2022-06)
      Article
      Accés obert
      Decadal climate predictions are a relatively new source of climate information for inter-annual to decadal time scales, which is of increasing interest for users. Forecast quality assessment is essential to identify windows ...
    • Multi-year prediction of European summer drought conditions for the agricultural sector 

      Solaraju Murali, Balakrishnan; Caron, Louis-Philippe; Gonzalez-Reviriego, Nube; Doblas-Reyes, Francisco J (2019-11-27)
      Article
      Accés obert
      Decadal climate prediction, where climate models are initialized with the contemporaneous state of the Earth system and run for a decade into the future, represents a new source of near-term climate information to better ...
    • North Atlantic climate far more predictable than models imply 

      Smith, Doug; Scaife, Adam A.; Athanasiadis, P.; Bellucci, A.; Bethke, Ingo; Bilbao, Roberto; Borchert, Leonard F.; Caron, Louis-Philippe; Counillon, F.; Danabasoglu, G.; Delworth, Thomas; Doblas-Reyes, Francisco; Dunstone, Nick; Estella-Perez, V.; Flavoni, S.; Hermanson, Leon; Keenlyside, Noel; Kharin, V.; Kimoto, M.; Merryfield, W.J.; Mignot, Juliette; Mochizuki, T.; Modali, K.; Monerie, P.-A.; Müller, W.A.; Nicolí, Dario; Ortega Montilla, Pablo; Pankatz, K.; Pohlmann, H.; Robson, Jon; Ruggieri, P.; Sospedra-Alfonso, Reinel; Swingedouw, Didier; Wang, Yiguo; Wild, Simon; Yeager, Stephen; Yang, Xiaosong; Liping, Zhang (Springer Nature, 2020-07)
      Article
      Accés obert
      Quantifying signals and uncertainties in climate models is essential for the detection, attribution, prediction and projection of climate change1,2,3. Although inter-model agreement is high for large-scale temperature ...
    • Overview of near-term decadal climate prediction and its applications: Technical note 

      Gonzalez-Reviriego, Nube; Caron, Louis-Philippe; Solaraju Murali, Balakrishnan; Doblas Reyes, Francisco (2018-07-15)
      Report de recerca
      Accés obert
      This document provides a synthesis of the current knowledge on decadal prediction. The document is divided in three parts. The first section provides an overview of the external forcings and the slow climate oscillations ...
    • Projected future changes in Tropical cyclones using the CMIP6 HighResMIP multimodel ensemble 

      Roberts, Malcolm John; Camp, Joanne; Jon, Seddon; Vidale, Pier Luigi; Hodges, Kevin; Vannière, Benoît; Mecking, Jenny; Haarsma, Rein; Bellucci, Alessio; Scoccimarro, Enrico; Caron, Louis-Philippe; Chauvin, Fabrice; Terray, Laurent; Valcke, Sophie; Moine, Marie-Pierre; Putrasahan, Dian; Roberts, Christopher D.; Senan, Retish; Zarzycki, Colin; Ullrich, Paul; Yamada, Yohei; Mizuta, Ryo; Kodama, Chihiro; Fu, Dan; Zhang, Qiuying; Danabasoglu, Gokhan; Rosenbloom, Nan; Wang, Hong; Wu, Lixin (Wiley, 2020)
      Article
      Accés obert
      Abstract Future changes in tropical cyclone properties are an important component of climate change impacts and risk for many tropical and midlatitude countries. In this study we assess the performance of a multimodel ...
    • Reanalysis of climate influences on Atlantic tropical cyclone activity using cluster analysis 

      Boudreault, Mathieu; Caron, Louis-Philippe; Camargo, Suzana J. (American Geophysical Union (AGU), 2017-04-25)
      Article
      Accés obert
      We analyze, using Poisson regressions, the main climate influences on North Atlantic tropical cyclone activity. The analysis is performed using not only various time series of basin-wide storm counts but also various series ...
    • Summer temperature response to extreme soil water conditions in the Mediterranean transitional climate regime 

      Materia, Stefano; Ardilouze, Constantin; Prodhomme, Chloé; Donat, Markus; Benassi, Marianna; Doblas-Reyes, Francisco; Peano, Daniele; Caron, Louis-Philippe; Ruggieri, Paolo; Gualdi, Silvio (Springer, 2021)
      Article
      Accés obert
      Land surface and atmosphere are interlocked by the hydrological and energy cycles and the effects of soil water-air coupling can modulate near-surface temperatures. In this work, three paired experiments were designed to ...
    • The EC-Earth3 Earth system model for the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project 6 

      Döscher, Ralf; Acosta Cobos, Mario César; Alessandri, Andrea; Anthoni, Peter; Arsouze, Thomas; Bernardello, Raffaele; Caron, Louis-Philippe; Castrillo, Miguel; Cvijanovic, Ivana; Doblas-Reyes, Francisco; Echevarria, Pablo; Moreno Chamarro, Eduardo; Ortega Montilla, Pablo; Tintó Prims, Oriol; Ramos, Arthur; Ruprich-Robert, Yohan; Sicardi, Valentina; Yepes-Arbós, Xavier (Copernicus Publications, 2022)
      Article
      Accés obert
      The Earth system model EC-Earth3 for contributions to CMIP6 is documented here, with its flexible coupling framework, major model configurations, a methodology for ensuring the simulations are comparable across different ...
    • The moisture budget of tropical cyclones in HighResMIP models: large-scale environmental balance and sensitivity to horizontal resolution 

      Vannière, Benoît; Roberts, Malcolm; Vidale, Pier Luigi; Hodges, Kevin; Demory, Marie-Estelle; Caron, Louis-Philippe; Scoccimarro, Enrico; Terray, Laurent; Senan, Retish (American Meteorological Society, 2020-10-01)
      Article
      Accés obert
      Previous studies have shown that the number, intensity, and structure of simulated tropical cyclones (TCs) in climate models get closer to the observations as the horizontal resolution is increased. However, the sensitivity ...
    • Tropical cyclone integrated kinetic energy in an ensemble of HighResMIP simulations 

      Kreussler, Philip; Caron, Louis-Philippe; Wild, Simon; Loosveldt Tomas, Saskia; Chauvin, Fabrice; Moine, Marie‐Pierre; Roberts, Malcolm J.; Ruprich-Robert, Yohan; Seddon, Jon; Valcke, Sophie; Vannière, Benoît; Vidale, Pier Luigi (American Geophysical Union, 2021)
      Article
      Accés obert
      This study investigates tropical cyclone integrated kinetic energy, a measure which takes into account the intensity and the size of the storms and which is closely associated with their damage potential, in three different ...
    • Tropical cyclone precipitation in the HighResMIP atmosphere-only experiments of the PRIMAVERA Project 

      Zhang, Wei; Villarini, Gabriele; Scoccimarro, Enrico; Roberts, Malcolm; Vidale, Pier Luigi; Vanniere, Benoıt; Caron, Louis-Philippe; Putrasahan, Dian; Roberts, Christopher; Senan, Retish; Moine, Marie-Pierre (Springer, 2021)
      Article
      Accés obert
      This study examines the climatology and structure of rainfall associated with tropical cyclones (TCs) based on the atmosphere-only Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 (CMIP6) HighResMIP runs of the PRocess-based ...