Browsing by Author "Torralba, Verónica"
Now showing items 1-20 of 22
-
Bias adjustment and ensemble recalibration methods for seasonal forecasting: a comprehensive intercomparison using the C3S dataset
(Springer, 2019-08)
Article
Open AccessThis work presents a comprehensive intercomparison of different alternatives for the calibration of seasonal forecasts, ranging from simple bias adjustment (BA)—e.g. quantile mapping—to more sophisticated ensemble recalibration ... -
Challenges in the selection of atmospheric circulation patterns for the wind energy sector
(Wiley, 2020-10)
Article
Open AccessAbstract Atmospheric circulation patterns that prevail for several consecutive days over a specific region can have consequences for the wind energy sector as they may lead to a reduction of the wind power generation, ... -
Characterization of the near surface wind speed distribution at global scale: ERA-Interim reanalysis and ECMWF seasonal forecasting system 4
(Springer, 2019-03)
Article
Open AccessThe present developments in 10 m wind seasonal forecast products have lead to a growth in the number of studies analysing different aspects of both its predictability and applicability. However, there is still a lack of ... -
Choices in the verification of S2S forecasts and their implications for climate services
(American Meteorological Society, 2020)
Article
Open AccessSubseasonal predictions bridge the gap between medium-range weather forecasts and seasonal climate predictions. This time scale is crucial for operations and planning in many sectors such as energy and agriculture. For ... -
Development of a wind energy climate service based on seasonal climate prediction
(Barcelona Supercomputing Center, 2015-05-05)
Conference report
Open AccessClimate predictions tailored to the wind energy sector represent an innovation to better understand the future variability of wind energy resources. In this work an illustration of the downstream impact of the forecasts ... -
Earth System Model Evaluation Tool (ESMValTool) v2.0 – an extended set of large-scale diagnostics for quasi-operational and comprehensive evaluation of Earth system models in CMIP
(Copernicus Publications, 2020)
Article
Open AccessThe Earth System Model Evaluation Tool (ESMValTool) is a community diagnostics and performance metrics tool designed to improve comprehensive and routine evaluation of Earth system models (ESMs) participating in the Coupled ... -
How reliable are decadal climate predictions of near-surface air temperature?
(American Meteorological Society (AMS), 2020)
Article
Open AccessDecadal climate predictions are being increasingly used by stakeholders interested in the evolution of climate over the coming decade. However, investigating the added value of those initialized decadal predictions over ... -
Multi-model seasonal forecasts for the wind energy sector
(Springer, 2019-09)
Article
Open AccessAn assessment of the forecast quality of 10 m wind speed by deterministic and probabilistic verification measures has been carried out using the original raw and two statistical bias-adjusted forecasts in global coupled ... -
On the reliability of global seasonal forecasts: sensitivity to ensemble size, hindcast length and region definition
(Wiley, 2022-09)
Article
Open AccessOne of the key quality aspects in a probabilistic prediction is its reliability. However, this property is difficult to estimate in the case of seasonal forecasts due to the limited size of most of the hindcasts that are ... -
Seasonal Climate Prediction: A New Source of Information for the Management of Wind Energy Resources
(Springer International Publishing, 2017-04-19)
Article
Open AccessClimate predictions tailored to the wind energy sector represent an innovation in the use of climate information to better manage the future variability of wind energy resources. Wind energy users have traditionally employed ... -
Seasonal forecasts of wind power generation
(Elsevier, 2019-12)
Article
Open AccessThe energy sector is highly dependent on climate variability for electricity generation, maintenance activities and demand. In recent years, a few climate services have appeared that provide tailored information for the ... -
Seasonal prediction of Euro-Atlantic teleconnections from multiple systems
(IOP Publishing, 2020)
Article
Open AccessSeasonal mean atmospheric circulation in Europe can vary substantially from year to year. This diversity of conditions impacts many socioeconomic sectors. Teleconnection indices can be used to characterize this seasonal ... -
Seasonal predictions of energy-relevant climate variables through Euro-Atlantic Teleconnections
(Elsevier, 2022-04)
Article
Open AccessThe goal of this analysis is the better understanding of how the large-scale atmospheric patterns affect the renewable resources over Europe and to investigate to what extent the dynamical predictions of the large-scale ... -
State-of-the-art climate predictions for energy climate services
(Barcelona Supercomputing Center, 2015-05-05)
Conference report
Open AccessSeasonal predictions of 10-m wind speed can be used by the wind energy sector in a number of decision making processes. Two different techniques of post-processing are applied in order to correct the unavoidable systematic ... -
Sub-seasonal to seasonal climate predictions for wind energy forecasting
(IOP Publishing, 2019-05)
Article
Open AccessBoth renewable energy supply and electricity demand are strongly influenced by meteorological conditions and their evolution over time in terms of climate variability and climate change. However, knowledge of power output ... -
Transforming climate model output to forecasts of wind power production: how much resolution is enough?
(Wiley, 2018-01)
Article
Open AccessWind power forecasts are useful tools for power load balancing, energy trading and wind farm operations. Long range monthly-to-seasonal forecasting allows the prediction of departures from average weather conditions beyond ... -
Uncertainty in near-surface wind speed trends at seasonal time scales
(Barcelona Supercomputing Center, 2017-05-04)
Conference report
Open AccessObservational studies have identified wind speed trends in the last decades [1,2] attributed to several factors such as changes in the land use, aerosol emissions or atmospheric circulation. However, in spite of the potential ... -
Uncertainty in recent near-surface wind speed trends: a global reanalysis intercomparison
(IOP Publishing, 2017-11-06)
Article
Open AccessReanalysis products have become a tool for wind energy users requiring information about the wind speed long-term variability. These users are sensitive to many aspects of the observational references they employ to estimate ... -
Weather regimes as a tool to validate seasonal forecasts
(2016-09-12)
Conference lecture
Open Access -
What have we learnt from EUPORIAS climate service prototypes?
(Elsevier, 2018-01)
Article
Open AccessThe international effort toward climate services, epitomised by the development of the Global Framework for Climate Services and, more recently the launch of Copernicus Climate Change Service has renewed interest in the ...
