Now showing items 1-17 of 17

    • Bias adjustment and ensemble recalibration methods for seasonal forecasting: a comprehensive intercomparison using the C3S dataset 

      Manzanas, Rodrigo; Gutiérrez, José Manuel; Bhend, J.; Doblas-Reyes, Francisco; Torralba, Verónica; Penabad, E.; Brookshaw, A. (Springer, 2019-08)
      Article
      Open Access
      This work presents a comprehensive intercomparison of different alternatives for the calibration of seasonal forecasts, ranging from simple bias adjustment (BA)—e.g. quantile mapping—to more sophisticated ensemble recalibration ...
    • Challenges in the selection of atmospheric circulation patterns for the wind energy sector 

      Torralba, Verónica; Gonzalez-Reviriego, Nube; Cortesi, Nicola; Manrique‐Suñén, Andrea; Lledó, Llorenç; Marcos, Raül; Soret, Albert; Doblas-Reyes, Francisco (Wiley, 2020-10)
      Article
      Open Access
      Abstract Atmospheric circulation patterns that prevail for several consecutive days over a specific region can have consequences for the wind energy sector as they may lead to a reduction of the wind power generation, ...
    • Characterization of the near surface wind speed distribution at global scale: ERA-Interim reanalysis and ECMWF seasonal forecasting system 4 

      Marcos, Raül; González-Riviriego, Nube; Torralba, Verónica; Soret, Albert; Doblas-Reyes, Francisco (Springer, 2019-03)
      Article
      Open Access
      The present developments in 10 m wind seasonal forecast products have lead to a growth in the number of studies analysing different aspects of both its predictability and applicability. However, there is still a lack of ...
    • Development of a wind energy climate service based on seasonal climate prediction 

      Torralba, Verónica; Jiménez, Isadora; Lledó, Llorenç; González-Reviriego, Nube; Soret, Albert; Doblas-Reyes, Francisco (Barcelona Supercomputing Center, 2015-05-05)
      Conference report
      Open Access
      Climate predictions tailored to the wind energy sector represent an innovation to better understand the future variability of wind energy resources. In this work an illustration of the downstream impact of the forecasts ...
    • Earth System Model Evaluation Tool (ESMValTool) v2.0 – an extended set of large-scale diagnostics for quasi-operational and comprehensive evaluation of Earth system models in CMIP 

      Eyring, Veronika; Bock, Lisa; Lauer, Axel; Righi, Mattia; Schlund, Manuel; Andela, Bouwe; Arnone, Enrico; Bellprat, Omar; Brötz, Björn; Caron, Louis-Philippe; Carvalhais, Nuno; Cionni, Irene; Cortesi, Nicola; Crezee, Bas; Davin, Edouard L.; Davini, Paolo; Debeire, Kevin; Mora, Lee, de; Deser, Clara; Docquier, David; Earnshaw, Paul; Ehbrecht, Carsten; Gier, Bettina K.; Gonzalez-Reviriego, Nube; Goodman, Paul; Hagemann, Stefan; Hardiman, Steven; Hassler, Birgit; Hunter, Alasdair; Kadow, Christopher; Kindermann, Stephan; Koirala, Sujan; Koldunov, Nikolay; Lejeune, Quentin; Lembo, Valerio; Lovato, Tomas; Lucarini, Valerio; Massonnet, François; Müller, Benjamin; Pandde, Amarjiit; Pérez-Zanón, Núria; Phillips, Adam; Predoi, Valeriu; Russell, Joellen; Sellar, Alistair; Serva, Federico; Stacke, Tobias; Swaminathan, Ranjini; Torralba, Verónica; Vegas-Regidor, Javier; Hardenberg, Jost, von; Weigel, Katja; Zimmermann, Klaus (Copernicus Publications, 2020)
      Article
      Open Access
      The Earth System Model Evaluation Tool (ESMValTool) is a community diagnostics and performance metrics tool designed to improve comprehensive and routine evaluation of Earth system models (ESMs) participating in the Coupled ...
    • Multi-model seasonal forecasts for the wind energy sector 

      Lee, Doo Young; Doblas-Reyes, Francisco; Torralba, Verónica; Gonzalez-Reviriego, Nube (Springer, 2019-09)
      Article
      Open Access
      An assessment of the forecast quality of 10 m wind speed by deterministic and probabilistic verification measures has been carried out using the original raw and two statistical bias-adjusted forecasts in global coupled ...
    • Seasonal Climate Prediction: A New Source of Information for the Management of Wind Energy Resources 

      Torralba, Verónica; Doblas-Reyes, Francisco; MacLeod, Dave; Christel, Isadora; Davis, Melanie (Springer International Publishing, 2017-04-19)
      Article
      Open Access
      Climate predictions tailored to the wind energy sector represent an innovation in the use of climate information to better manage the future variability of wind energy resources. Wind energy users have traditionally employed ...
    • Seasonal forecasts of wind power generation 

      Lledó, Llorenc; Torralba, Verónica; Soret, Albert; Ramon, Jaume; Doblas-Reyes, Francisco (Elsevier, 2019-12)
      Article
      Open Access
      The energy sector is highly dependent on climate variability for electricity generation, maintenance activities and demand. In recent years, a few climate services have appeared that provide tailored information for the ...
    • Seasonal prediction of Euro-Atlantic teleconnections from multiple systems 

      Lledó, Llorenç; Cionni, Irene; Torralba, Verónica; Bretonnière, Pierre-Antoine; Samsó, Margarida (IOP Publishing, 2020)
      Article
      Open Access
      Seasonal mean atmospheric circulation in Europe can vary substantially from year to year. This diversity of conditions impacts many socioeconomic sectors. Teleconnection indices can be used to characterize this seasonal ...
    • State-of-the-art climate predictions for energy climate services 

      Torralba, Verónica; Davis, Melanie; Doblas-Reyes, Francisco; González-Reviriego, Nube (Barcelona Supercomputing Center, 2015-05-05)
      Conference report
      Open Access
      Seasonal predictions of 10-m wind speed can be used by the wind energy sector in a number of decision making processes. Two different techniques of post-processing are applied in order to correct the unavoidable systematic ...
    • Sub-seasonal to seasonal climate predictions for wind energy forecasting 

      Soret, Albert; Torralba, Verónica; Cortesi, Nicola; Christel, I.; Palma, Ll.; Manrique-Suñén, A.; Lledó, Llorenç; González-Reviriego, Nube; Doblas-Reyes, Francisco (IOP Publishing, 2019-05)
      Article
      Open Access
      Both renewable energy supply and electricity demand are strongly influenced by meteorological conditions and their evolution over time in terms of climate variability and climate change. However, knowledge of power output ...
    • Transforming climate model output to forecasts of wind power production: how much resolution is enough? 

      MacLeod, Dave; Torralba, Verónica; Davis, Melanie; Doblas-Reyes, Francisco (Wiley, 2018-01)
      Article
      Open Access
      Wind power forecasts are useful tools for power load balancing, energy trading and wind farm operations. Long range monthly-to-seasonal forecasting allows the prediction of departures from average weather conditions beyond ...
    • Uncertainty in near-surface wind speed trends at seasonal time scales 

      Torralba, Verónica; Torras-Reyes, Francisco J.; Gonzalez-Reviriego, Nube (Barcelona Supercomputing Center, 2017-05-04)
      Conference report
      Open Access
      Observational studies have identified wind speed trends in the last decades [1,2] attributed to several factors such as changes in the land use, aerosol emissions or atmospheric circulation. However, in spite of the potential ...
    • Uncertainty in recent near-surface wind speed trends: a global reanalysis intercomparison 

      Torralba, Verónica; Doblas-Reyes, Francisco; Gonzalez-Reviriego, Nube (IOP Publishing, 2017-11-06)
      Article
      Open Access
      Reanalysis products have become a tool for wind energy users requiring information about the wind speed long-term variability. These users are sensitive to many aspects of the observational references they employ to estimate ...
    • Weather regimes as a tool to validate seasonal forecasts 

      Cortesi, Nicola; Lee, Doo Young; Torralba, Verónica; González-Reviriego, Nube; Soret, Albert; Lledó, Llorenç; Bretonnière, Pierre A.; Doblas-Reyes, Francisco (2016-09-12)
      Conference lecture
      Open Access
    • What have we learnt from EUPORIAS climate service prototypes? 

      Buontempo, Carlo; Manlon, Helen M.; Bruno Soares, Marta; Christel, Isadora; Soubeyroux, Jean-Michel; Viel, Christian; Calmanti, Sandro; Bosi, Lorenzo; Falloon, Pete; Palin, Eika J.; Vanvyve, Emilie; Torralba, Verónica; Gonzalez-Reviriego, Nube; Doblas-Reyes, Francisco; Pope, Edward C.D.; Newton, Paula; Liggins, Felicity (Elsevier, 2018-01)
      Article
      Open Access
      The international effort toward climate services, epitomised by the development of the Global Framework for Climate Services and, more recently the launch of Copernicus Climate Change Service has renewed interest in the ...
    • What have we learnt from EUPORIAS climate service prototypes? 

      Buontempo, Carlo; Manlon, Helen M.; Bruno Soares, Marta; Christel, Isadora; Soubeyroux, Jean-Michel; Viel, Christian; Calmanti, Sandro; Bosi, Lorenzo; Falloon, Pete; Palin, Erika J.; Vanvyve, Emilie; Torralba, Verónica; Gonzalez-Reviriego, Nube; Doblas-Reyes, Francisco; Pope, Edward C.D.; Newton, Paula; Liggins, Felicity (Elsevier, 2018-01)
      Article
      Open Access
      The international effort toward climate services, epitomised by the development of the Global Framework for Climate Services and, more recently the launch of Copernicus Climate Change Service has renewed interest in the ...