• Forecasting the climate response to volcanic eruptions: prediction skill related to stratospheric aerosol forcing 

      Ménégoz, Martin; Bilbao, Roberto; Bellprat, Omar; Guemas, Virginie; Doblas-Reyes, Francisco (IOP Publishing, 2018-06-06)
      Article
      Accés obert
      The last major volcanic eruptions, the Agung in 1963, El Chichon in 1982 and Pinatubo in 1991, were each associated with a cooling of the troposphere that has been observed over large continental areas and over the Western ...
    • On the observed connection between Arctic sea ice and Eurasian snow in relation to the winter North Atlantic Oscillation 

      Santolaria-Otín, María; García Serrano, Javier; Ménégoz, Martin; Bech, Joan (IOP Publishing, 2020)
      Article
      Accés obert
      Sea ice concentration (SIC) in the eastern Arctic and snow cover extent (SCE) over central Eurasia in late autumn have been proposed as potential predictors of the winter North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO). Here, maximum ...
    • Robust Multiyear Climate Impacts of Volcanic Eruptions in Decadal Prediction Systems 

      Hermanson, Leon; Bilbao, Roberto; Dunstone, Nick; Ménégoz, Martin; Ortega Montilla, Pablo; Pohlmann, Holger; Robson, Jon I; Smith, Doug M.; Strand, Gary; Timmreck, Claudia; Yeager, Steve; Danabasoglu, Gokhan (Wiley, 2020)
      Article
      Accés obert
      Major tropical volcanic eruptions have a large impact on climate, but there have only been three major eruptions during the recent relatively well‐observed period. Models are therefore an important tool to understand and ...
    • Role of the Atlantic Multidecadal Variability in modulating the climate response to a Pinatubo-like volcanic eruption 

      Ménégoz, Martin; Cassou, Christophe; Swingedouw, Didier; Ruprich-Robert, Yohan; Bretonnière, Pierre-Antoine; Doblas-Reyes, Francisco (Springer, 2018-09)
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      Accés obert
      The modulation by the Atlantic multidecadal variability (AMV) of the dynamical climate response to a Pinatubo-like eruption is investigated for the boreal winter season based on a suite of large ensemble experiments using ...
    • Toward an imminent extinction of Colombian glaciers? 

      Rabatel, Antoine; Ceballos, Jorge Luis; Micheletti, Natan; Jordan, Ekkehard; Braitmeier, Michael; González, Javier; Mölg, Nico; Ménégoz, Martin; Huggel, Christian; Zemp, Michael (Taylor & Francis, 2018)
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      Accés obert
      This study documents the current state of glacier coverage in the Colombian Andes, the glacier shrinkage over the twentieth century and discusses indication of their disappearance in the coming decades. Satellite images ...