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dc.contributor.authorClaveria, Oscar
dc.contributor.authorMonte Moreno, Enrique
dc.contributor.authorTorra Porras, Salvador
dc.contributor.otherUniversitat Politècnica de Catalunya. Departament de Teoria del Senyal i Comunicacions
dc.date.accessioned2016-09-16T17:51:13Z
dc.date.available2016-09-16T17:51:13Z
dc.date.issued2016-08-16
dc.identifier.citationClaveria, O., Monte, E., Torra Porras, S. Modelling cross-dependencies between Spain’s regional tourism markets with an extension of the Gaussian process regression model. "Series-Journal of the Spanish Economic Association", 16 Agost 2016, vol. 7, núm. 3, p. 341-357.
dc.identifier.issn1869-4187
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/2117/90005
dc.description.abstractThis study presents an extension of the Gaussian process regression model for multiple-input multiple-output forecasting. This approach allows modelling the cross-dependencies between a given set of input variables and generating a vectorial prediction. Making use of the existing correlations in international tourism demand to all seventeen regions of Spain, the performance of the proposed model is assessed in a multiple-step-ahead forecasting comparison. The results of the experiment in a multivariate setting show that the Gaussian process regression model significantly improves the forecasting accuracy of a multi-layer perceptron neural network used as a benchmark. The results reveal that incorporating the connections between different markets in the modelling process may prove very useful to refine predictions at a regional level.
dc.format.extent17 p.
dc.language.isoeng
dc.rights.urihttp://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/3.0/es/
dc.subjectÀrees temàtiques de la UPC::Informàtica::Intel·ligència artificial::Aprenentatge automàtic
dc.subjectÀrees temàtiques de la UPC::Enginyeria de la telecomunicació::Telemàtica i xarxes d'ordinadors
dc.subject.lcshMachine learning
dc.subject.lcshMIMO systems
dc.subject.otherMachine learning
dc.subject.otherGaussian process regression
dc.subject.otherNeural networks
dc.subject.otherMultiple-input multiple-output (MIMO)
dc.subject.otherEconomic forecasting
dc.subject.otherTourism demand
dc.titleModelling cross-dependencies between Spain’s regional tourism markets with an extension of the Gaussian process regression model
dc.typeArticle
dc.subject.lemacAprenentatge automàtic
dc.subject.lemacSistemes MIMO
dc.contributor.groupUniversitat Politècnica de Catalunya. VEU - Grup de Tractament de la Parla
dc.identifier.doi10.1007/s13209-016-0144-7
dc.description.peerreviewedPeer Reviewed
dc.relation.publisherversionhttp://link.springer.com/journal/13209
dc.rights.accessOpen Access
local.identifier.drac18822087
dc.description.versionPostprint (author's final draft)
local.citation.authorClaveria, O.; Monte, E.; Torra Porras, S.
local.citation.publicationNameSeries-Journal of the Spanish Economic Association
local.citation.volume7
local.citation.number3
local.citation.startingPage341
local.citation.endingPage357


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